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Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 showed continued clinical/regulatory progress but a wider loss; EPS was -$1.05 vs S&P Global consensus of -$0.84, a miss of $0.21, with no product revenue as Dyne remains pre-commercial . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
- ACHIEVE (DYNE-101, DM1) registrational expansion cohort was initiated following an FDA Type C meeting; DELIVER (DYNE-251, DMD) registrational expansion cohort was fully enrolled (32 patients), reaffirming targeted U.S. Accelerated Approval submissions in 2026 .
- Operating investments accelerated: R&D rose to $106.4M, total OpEx to $122.4M; G&A was $15.9M. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $677.5M, with runway at least into 2H 2026 .
- Stock-relevant catalysts: late-2025 DELIVER REC data, H1 2026 ACHIEVE REC data to support potential U.S. Accelerated Approval filings; plus near-term regulatory update on DYNE-101 post FDA meeting minutes .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Initiated ACHIEVE registrational expansion (up to 48 participants) after a May Type C FDA meeting; management plans a regulatory update once minutes are received .
- Fully enrolled the DELIVER registrational expansion cohort (32 patients), keeping the DMD program on track for late-2025 data and early-2026 BLA submission for U.S. Accelerated Approval .
- CEO tone confident: “Our two lead programs continue to demonstrate compelling and favorable data… We are urgently advancing both programs toward potential U.S. Accelerated Approval submissions in 2026 and possible commercial launches in 2027.” .
What Went Wrong
- EPS missed S&P Global consensus by $0.21 driven by stepped-up R&D spend; net loss widened to $115.4M vs $65.6M in Q1 2024 and $89.5M in Q4 2024 . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
- R&D expenses more than doubled year-over-year to $106.4M as the company advanced registrational activities and trial preparations, pressuring quarterly loss metrics .
- No earnings call transcript was available to glean Q&A color or further guidance clarifications; investor updates were delivered via press releases and event announcements [ListDocuments: earnings-call-transcript returned 0 for 2025-04–06] .
Financial Results
Income Statement and EPS (USD)
Estimates marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity (USD)
Segments and KPIs
- Dyne reported no product revenue; company remains pre-commercial and focused on clinical development .
- Clinical/regulatory KPIs: | KPI | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | |-----|---------|---------|---------| | DYNE-101 (DM1) FDA Interactions | IND cleared; additional ACHIEVE data planned early Jan-2025 | Fast Track designation granted (Jan 2025 noted) and planning REC (up to 48) with full enrollment mid-2025 | Type C meeting held May 2025; REC initiated (up to 48), full enrollment mid-2025; Phase 3 goal to initiate in 2025 | | DYNE-251 (DMD) Registrational Cohort | Enrolling registrational cohort at 20 mg/kg | Anticipated completion of enrollment in Q1 2025; late-2025 data | Registrational expansion cohort fully enrolled (32); late-2025 data; early-2026 BLA targeted |
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
(Note: No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was found; themes below track press releases and company updates.)
Management Commentary
- “Our two lead programs continue to demonstrate compelling and favorable data, including evidence of functional improvement across multiple measures in DM1 and DMD. We are urgently advancing both programs toward potential U.S. Accelerated Approval submissions in 2026 and possible commercial launches in 2027.” — John Cox, President & CEO .
- “Our most recent clinical data for DYNE-101 from the ACHIEVE trial in DM1 patients showed substantial functional benefit, including the reversal of disease progression… We are moving rapidly to initiate a Registrational Expansion Cohort to support a potential submission for U.S. Accelerated Approval.” — John Cox .
- “Our recent long-term DELIVER trial results demonstrated clinically relevant and sustained functional improvement through 18 months… We are pleased that the EC has granted orphan drug designation to DYNE-251…” — Doug Kerr, MD, PhD, CMO .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available; management provided prepared updates via press releases and event/webcast announcements (e.g., June 17 DYNE-101 investor webcast) .
Estimates Context
- EPS: -$1.05 actual vs S&P Global consensus -$0.84; miss of $0.21. Bold miss reflects stepped-up R&D investment and registrational activities. EPS consensus values from S&P Global* .
- Revenue: S&P Global consensus $0.00; company reported no product revenue as pre-commercial. Revenue consensus values from S&P Global* .
Estimates marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS miss was driven by higher R&D investment as Dyne initiated and advanced registrational activities; this spending is aligned with near-term clinical/regulatory catalysts rather than core financial performance .
- DYNE-251 (DMD) is de-risked from an operational standpoint with registrational expansion fully enrolled and late-2025 data targeted to support early-2026 U.S. Accelerated Approval submission; this is a key potential stock catalyst window .
- DYNE-101 (DM1) achieved FDA Type C meeting and initiated the registrational expansion cohort, with H1 2026 data planned to support Accelerated Approval filing—another catalyst path .
- Liquidity remains solid with $677.5M in cash and runway at least into 2H 2026, supporting execution to key milestones without near-term financing dependency .
- Leadership additions (CFO/CBO/CSO/CIO) strengthen execution capacity ahead of filings and commercial planning, potentially improving readiness and partner optionality .
- Near-term events to watch: FDA meeting minutes/regulatory update on DYNE-101; continued site activation/protocol progress; late-2025 DELIVER REC readout .
- Medium-term thesis hinges on sustained functional improvement signals translating into surrogate endpoint-based approvals and a credible path to 2027 launches in DMD and DM1 as management reaffirmed .